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Women With New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation May Be at Increased Risk for Malignant Cancer

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Key Points

  • Analysis indicated that new-onset atrial fibrillation was a significant risk factor for the subsequent diagnosis of incident cancer, even after extensive adjustment for various factors.
  • The relative increase in risk was higher within 3 months of new-onset atrial fibrillation, but more modest elevations in risk persisted in the long term, and a trend toward an increased risk of cancer death was observed. In contrast, among women with new-onset cancer, the risk of atrial fibrillation was increased only within the first 3 months but not thereafter.
  • Of the cancer subtypes examined, atrial fibrillation was most strongly associated with colon cancer.

Among nearly 35,000 initially healthy women who were followed for about 20 years, those with new-onset atrial fibrillation had an increased risk of cancer, according to a study published by Conen et al in JAMA Cardiology.

Atrial fibrillation, the most common cardiac arrhythmia, is associated with an increased risk of major cardiovascular complications. A substantial proportion of patients with atrial fibrillation die of noncardiovascular causes, and recent studies have suggested a link between atrial fibrillation and cancer. An increased risk of malignant cancer would be of substantial public health importance given the high prevalence and associated costs of both disorders.

In this study, David Conen, MD, MPH, of University Hospital, Basel, Switzerland, and colleagues included a total of 34,691 women aged 45 years or older and free of atrial fibrillation, cardiovascular disease, and cancer at study entry, who were followed between 1993 and 2013 for incident atrial fibrillation and malignant cancer within the Women's Health Study, a randomized clinical trial of aspirin and vitamin E for the prevention of cardiovascular disease and cancer.

Study Findings

During follow-up, new-onset atrial fibrillation and malignant cancer were confirmed among 1,467 (4.2%) and 5,130 (14.8%) participants, respectively. The median age at baseline among participants with new-onset atrial fibrillation and new-onset cancer during follow-up was 58 years and 55 years, respectively. Analysis indicated that new-onset atrial fibrillation was a significant risk factor for the subsequent diagnosis of incident cancer, even after extensive adjustment for various factors. The relative increase in risk was higher within 3 months of new-onset atrial fibrillation, but more modest elevations in risk persisted in the long term, and a trend toward an increased risk of cancer death was observed.

Of the cancer subtypes examined, atrial fibrillation was most strongly associated with colon cancer. In contrast, among women with new-onset cancer, the risk of atrial fibrillation was increased only within the first 3 months but not thereafter.

“Shared risk factors and/or common systemic disease processes might underlie this association,” the authors wrote. “Future studies are needed to assess the mechanisms underlying this association and to determine whether a diagnosis of atrial fibrillation incrementally adds to existing cancer risk prediction algorithms. Regardless, optimal risk factor control in patients with atrial fibrillation seems prudent.”

The content in this post has not been reviewed by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, Inc. (ASCO®) and does not necessarily reflect the ideas and opinions of ASCO®.


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